Terms and Abbreviations
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
Q
R
S
T
U
V
W
X
Y
Z
Phrases are alphabetized by their most significant word. This word is usually
the noun in the phrase.
- A
- Adjusted Option
- Normally one option contract represents 100 shares of an underlying security.
Some options represent a number of shares other than 100, represent more than
one security, and/or an amount of cash. Adjusted options are commonly created
during mergers and spin-off distributions. For a merger, it is common for
the options of the company being absorbed to be adjusted to represent a calculated
number of shares in the absorbing company. For a spin-off, it is common for
options to be adjusted to represent shares in both companies plus some cash.
Adjusted options are not processed correctly by the SelectOptions analysis
programs. Information on an adjusted option's underlying security configuration
is usually available at the major option exchange web sites. For example,
on the CBOE's site you can usually locate this information by entering the
option symbol into the site's "Search CBOE.com" function.
- Assignment, Option
- The fulfillment of the option contract. For Call Options, its is the delivery
of stock from the option seller to the option buyer. For "cash settled"
options, the equivalent value of the stock, in cash, is delivered by the option
seller to the option buyer.
- B
- Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
- An option pricing model initially developed by Fischer Black, Myron Scholes,
and Robert Merton for securities options. The 1997 Nobel Prize in Economics
was awarded for this work. A detailed description of the model can be found
on the web by searching for "Black-Scholes". A modified version
of this model that accounts for continuous dividend payments is used by the
analysis tools.
- Break-Even
- The price of the underlying that will result in neither a profit nor a loss.
The return is equal to the original investment. Typically, in this web site,
the "break even" point is calculated without consideration of brokerage
fees or lost opportunity cost.
- Bearish Investment
- An investment that will result in a profit if the underlying increases in
value.
- Bullish Investment
- An investment that will result in a profit if the underlying decreases in
value.
- C
- Calculation, Brokerage Fee
- Brokerage fees are calculated and used in portions of the analysis.
The stock trade fee calculation algorithm is currently hard coded as $29.95
for the first 1000 shares and $.03/share for additional shares.
The option trade fee calculation algorithm is currently hard coded as:
For less than 30 contracts, $29.95 for the first contract and $1.40/contract
for additional contracts.
For 30 or more contracts, $29.95 for the first contract and $1.10/contract
for additional contracts.
In addition to that a .00334% of proceeds SEC fee is added to both stock and
option transactions.
This fee is calculated for each leg of a multi-legged trade.
- Call Option
- The contractual promise to sell shares of an underlying security at a specific
price (strike price) for a specified time period. Typically, each contract
unit represents 100 shares of the underlying security. The buyer pays the
seller a "premium" to obtain rights to demand fulfillment of the
promise. The seller receives the "premium" from the seller as compensation
for incurring the obligations of the promise. Exceptions to the 100 share
unit quantity exist, especially when trading index options. Analysis programs
on this site assume that the contract unit is 100 shares. Do not use these
analysis programs for securities that do not have contract units of 100 shares.
The results will not be valid. Information regarding contract unit sizes can
be obtained in the option exchanges. The above describes an "American
style" option. "European style" options allow for the buyer
to demand fulfillment on a specified date rather than foe a specified time
period. See CBOE for a complete description.
- Call, Covered
- A "Short Call" option contract that is secured by shares the underlying
security held in a portfolio. The strategy for Covered Call investing is discussed
in the site's Education section under "Analyzing Simple Call & Put
Options".
- Call, Long
- The option position that results from buying a Call option contract. Possessing
a Long Call gives the holder the right to demand fulfillment of the terms
of the option contract.
- Call, Short
- The option position that results from selling a Call option contract. Possessing
a Short Call obligates the holder to fulfill of the terms of the option contract.
- Call, Uncovered Short
- A "Short Call" option contract that is not secured by shares the
underlying security held in a portfolio. The risk from this type of option
investment is unlimited. Uncovered Calls are generally not discussed on this
web site.
- Call Writing
- Selling Call option contracts. This practice is considered very risky unless
the Call option contracts are secured by portfolio securities. See Covered
Call.
- Contracts
- Options are traded in units of "contracts". Typically, one contract
maps to options on 100 shares of stock. The software on this site assumes
that this is the case. Brokerage fees for option trading are usually based
upon the number of contracts being traded.
- D
- Distribution, Lognormal Probability (formal
description)
- A distribution of a random variable whose logarithm is normally distributed.
The lognormal distribution is geometrically symmetrical around its mean. That
is, given a mean of m. The following pairs of values have equal probability:
(2m,m/2), (3m,m/3), … (km,m/k). This distribution is often used in securities
price modeling and is the basis for the Black-Scholes option pricing equations.
- Distribution, Lognormal Probability (simplified
description)
- The probability curve that is often used to model security and derivative
pricing. According to this curve, the likelihood of a security doubling in
value is equal to it loosing half its value. Similarly, the likelihood of
a security tripling in value is equal to it falling to one-third its value.
Etc.
- Distribution, Cumulative Probability
- A curve derived from a probability distribution, where each y-value is the
probability of all outcomes of its x or less. When applied to securities and
derivatives, the x-values correspond to possible pricing outcomes. The y-value
corresponding to a x-value is the probability that the outcome price will
be x or less. This curve will start at zero on the left and climb monotonically
to 1.0 (100%) on the right.
- Distribution, Probability
- A mathematical function (graphed curve) whose x-values are all of the potential
outcomes of a process. The y-value corresponding to each x-value is the probability
of that x-value occurring. When applied to securities and derivatives, the
x-values correspond to possible pricing outcomes, and the y-value is the probability
that the outcome of that price is achieved. The sum of all the y-values of
a probability distribution is 1.0 (100%)
- E
- Expected Value
- The average result that would occur if an experiment were to be repeated
a very large number of times. For example, given a fair coin, if you gained
$2 for each outcome of heads, and you lost $1 for each outcome of tails. If
you flip the coin many many times, the average gain per toss (expected value)
would be $0.50. This is computed by multiplying the probability of each outcome
by its profit(loss) and summing these results.
(.5 x $2) + (.5 x $-1) = $0.50
If you flipped the coin one million times, you should expect to have gained
about $500,000. Note that this result is not certain, you could lose $1,000,000
or gain $2,000,000, but the odds of either extreme occurring are miniscule.
For any game of chance, if the "expected value" is in your favor
and you can keep playing, you will accumulate winnings. If the "expected
value" is against you, you will eventually go bankrupt.
- ExpVal
- See Expected Value.
- F
- Filter, Analysis
- Our analysis programs typically run in three stages. (Screening-->Analysis-->Filtering).
The "analysis filter" examines the result of the analysis and reports
only the analysis results that fits the filter criteria.
- G
- Geometric Relationships
- Geometric relationships are variations measured by a multiplying factor.
For example, stock ABC increases in price from $10 to $12, while stock XYZ
increases from $40 to $44. The geometric increase in ABC stock (a multiplier
of 1.2) is greater than that of XYZ (a multiplier of 1.1). Geometric relationships
are not quite the same as "percentage differences". Geometric symmetry
is obtained via the reciprocal of the multiplier. The negative symmetrical
geometric change for ABC stock is $10 to $8.33 (a multiplier of 1/1.2 or .833).
This differs from a negative symmetrical "percentage difference",
which would be $10 to $8.
- H
- I
- In the Money
- A call option is said to be "in the money" if the current value
of the underlying security is above the exercise price of the option. A put
option is said to be "in the money" if the current value of the
underlying security is below the exercise price of the option.
- J
- K
- L
- Last
- Last trade price of the underlying security.
- Liquidity
- Liquidity is a measure of the ability the ability to enter or exit an option
position without a substantial change in the current option price. The trading
volume of the security or option is used as the measure liquidity. Screening
based upon liquidity will omit options which trade below a specified threshold
from consideration.
- M
- Margin, Safety
- The amount the price of an underlying security may change in the unfavorable
direction before less than the "maximum profit" is achieved.
- N
- O
- Out of the Money
- A call option is said to be "out the money" if the current value
of the underlying security is below the exercise price of the option. A put
option is said to be "out the money" if the current value of the
underlying security is above the exercise price of the option.
- Overvalued
- An option is overvalued if its current premium is higher than its computed
theoretical value. This value is normally expressed as a percentage (current_premium
/ theoretical_value). The programs use the Black-Scholes options pricing equations
to compute theoretical values.
- P
- Premium, Option
- The premium is the price that the buyer of the option pays the seller.
- Probability
- The likelihood that a specific outcome will occur, expressed as a percentage.
These percentages are rounded to the nearest whole percent. A probability
expressed as 100% represents a value of 99.5% or greater. Similarly, a probability
expressed as 0% represents a value of 0.5% or less.
- Probability, Assignment
- The probability that an option will expire "In the Money", thus
resulting in the option buyer demanding fulfillment of the option contract.
- Probability of Profit
- The probability that an option will expire with its underlying security
priced equal to or more favorable than the break-even price of the position.
- ProbProf
- See Probability of Profit.
- Profit, Maximum
- The profit per contract corresponding to the most favorable outcome. This
profit is computed without regard to brokerage fees.
- Put Option
- The contractual promise to buy shares of an underlying security at a specific
price (strike price) for a specified time period. Typically, each contract
unit represents 100 shares of the underlying security. The buyer pays the
seller a "premium" to obtain rights to demand fulfillment of the
promise. The seller receives the "premium" from the seller as compensation
for incurring the obligations of the promise. Exceptions to the 100 share
unit quantity exist, especially when trading index options. Analysis programs
on this site assume that the contract unit is 100 shares. Do not use these
analysis programs for securities that do not have contract units of 100 shares.
The results will not be valid. Information regarding contract unit sizes can
be obtained in the option exchanges. The above describes an "American
style" option. "European style" options allow for the buyer
to demand fulfillment on a specified date rather than foe a specified time
period. See CBOE for a complete description.
- Put, Long
- The option position that results from buying a Put option contract. Possessing
a Long Put gives the holder the right to demand fulfillment of the terms of
the option contract.
- Put, Short
- The option position that results from selling a Put option contract. Possessing
a Short Put obligates the holder to fulfill of the terms of the option contract.
- Put Writing
- Selling Put option contracts to open a position.
- Q
- R
- Rate, Risk Neutral Growth
- The annualized expected rate of investment growth. Many publications refer
to this number as the "Risk-Free Interest Rate". I prefer the term
"Risk Neutral Growth Rate" because the way the number is used in
the analysis algorithms. This number has the effect of setting the 50% point
of probability distributions that are used in the analysis. For example, if
we are trying to determine pricing a year into the future using a "Risk
Neutral Growth Rate" of 10%. The pricing probability distribution will
be constructed such that there is a 50% probability of achieving less than
10% growth and a 50% probability of achieving greater than 10% growth. Since
the S&P 500 average annual return for that last 30 years is about 10%
this is a reasonable value. However, calling the number "Risk-Free Interest
Rate", would lead the user to enter the 1-year Treasury Rate (now about
2%) thus positioning the mid-point of the distributions much lower.
This term is subjective. You should specify the annualized rate that is your
best estimate if the equity's price growth.
Because of the uncertainty involved in choosing this number, the analysis
programs allow you to specify a range for it. The minimum value of the range
is used for calculations that would show profit most strongly under bearish
conditions. The maximum value of the range is used for calculations that would
show profit most strongly under bearish conditions. This introduces a degree
of conservatism (worst case analysis) into the result.
The growth rate values you specify are expected to be "annually compounded"
rates. They are converted to "continuously compounded" rates (cont_rate
= ln(1+annual_rate)) before they are used in computations. The "continuously
compounded" rate is displayed in reports as the"effective"
rate. Note that most pricing and probability calculators require a "continuously
compounded" rate as input.
- Return, Annual Max
- "Annualized Maximum Return on Risk" is computed as the most optimistic
outcome divided by the most pessimistic outcome (reward/risk). In cases where
the most pessimistic outcome is infinite (such as the short sale of stock)
the programs computes the "most pessimistic" result is at the 99th
percentile (only 1% of the time will results be more pessimistic). Brokerage
fees are not considered in the "gross return on risk" calculation.
- Return, Annualized Net Expected
- The "annualized net expected return on risk" is the annualized
result of the investment's "expected value" divided by the amount
risked on the investment. It is computed with consideration of brokerage commissions.
See the "Expected Value" page of the Education section of this site
for a more in depth discussion.
- Return, Gross
- The return on risk computed without consideration of
brokerage commissions.
- Return, Net
- The return on risk computed with consideration of brokerage
commissions.
- Return on Risk
- The profit corresponding to the most favorable outcome divided by the loss
corresponding to the most unfavorable outcome. This value is expressed as
a percentage.
- Risk, Maximum
- The "amount lost per share" corresponding to the most unfavorable
outcome. This loss is computed without regard to brokerage fees. For investments
that theoretically have infinite risk, the 99th percentile risk value is used.
- Risk$
- A report column header for Maximum Risk.
- S
- Safe
- Report column name for safety margin.
- Screen, Analysis
- Our analysis programs typically run in three stages. (Screening-->Analysis-->Filtering).
The "screen filter" examines the input the analysis eliminates input
that does not fits the filter criteria.
- Spread, Bull Put Credit
- Selling an Out of the Money Put and simultaneously buying
a Put on the same underlying and same expiration date that is further "Out
of the Money". Since the option purchased is further "Out of the
Money" the result of the initial option purchase and sale should be a
positive amount, referred to as a credit. Maximum profit is the credit. This
profit is achieved if both options expire "Out of the Money". Therefore,
the safety margin for this investment is the
percentage that the sold option is "Out of the Money". The worst
case scenario of this investment is if both options mature In
the Money. In that case the maximum loss (amount risked) per share of
underlying is computed as long_put_strike_price - short_put_strike_price.
Note that if your long option matures "In the Money", you must either
exercise it or make an other closing transaction. Failure to do so will forfeit
the gains from the option.
- Spread, Bear Put Debit
- Selling an In the Money Put and simultaneously buying
a Put on the same underlying and same expiration date that is further "In
the Money". Since the option purchased is further "In the Money"
the result of the initial option purchase and sale should be a negative amount,
referred to as a debit. Maximum profit is computed as long_put_strike_price
- short_put_strike_price + debit (note that debit is negative, so adding it
subtracts from profit). This profit is achieved if both options mature "In
the Money". Therefore, the safety margin
for this investment is the percentage that the sold option is "In the
Money". The worst case scenario of this investment is if both options
expire Out of the Money. In that case the maximum loss
(amount risked) per share of underlying is the debit. Note that if your long
option matures "In the Money", you must either exercise it or make
an other closing transaction. Failure to do so will forfeit the gains from
the option.
- Spread, Bull Call Debit
- Selling an In the Money Call and simultaneously buying
a Call on the same underlying and same expiration date that is further "In
the Money". Since the option purchased is further "In the Money"
the result of the initial option purchase and sale should be a negative amount,
referred to as a debit. Maximum profit is computed as short_call_strike_price
- long_call_strike_price + debit (note that debit is negative, so adding it
subtracts from profit). This profit is achieved if both options mature "In
the Money". Therefore, the safety margin
for this investment is the percentage that the sold option is "In the
Money". The worst case scenario of this investment is if both options
expire Out of the Money. In that case the maximum loss
(amount risked) per share of underlying is the debit. Note that if your long
option matures "In the Money", you must either exercise it or make
an other closing transaction. Failure to do so will forfeit the gains from
the option.
- Spread, Bear Call Credit
- Selling an Out of the Money Call and simultaneously buying
a Call on the same underlying and same expiration date that is further "Out
of the Money". Since the option purchased is further "Out of the
Money" the result of the initial option purchase and sale should be a
positive amount, referred to as a credit. Maximum profit is the credit. This
profit is achieved if both options expire "Out of the Money". Therefore,
the safety margin for this investment is the
percentage that the sold option is "Out of the Money". The worst
case scenario of this investment is if both options mature In
the Money. In that case the maximum loss (amount risked) per share of
underlying is computed as long_call_strike_price - short_call_strike_price.
Note that if your long option matures "In the Money", you must either
exercise it or make an other closing transaction. Failure to do so will forfeit
the gains from the option.
- Spread, Volatility
- A delta-neutral option spread designed to speculate on changes in the volatility
of the market rather than the direction of the market. This type of spread
is currently not supported by analyzers on this site.
- T
- Theoretical Value
- The value of an option as computed by the Black-Scholes option pricing equations
for European style Calls or Puts on underlyings paying continuous dividends.
- U
- Underlying
- The security or interest upon which an option is based.
Example: IBM stock is the underlying for an IBM Call or Put equity option.
- Undervalued
- An option is undervalued if its current premium is lower than its computed
theoretical value. This value is normally expressed as a percentage (current_premium
/ theoretical_value). The programs use the Black-Scholes options pricing equations
to compute theoretical values.
- V
- Volatility
- Volatility refers to the computed standard deviation of the underlying's
price fluctuations.
- Volatility,
Implied
- The volatility that when input into a theoretical pricing model, would cause
the theoretical computed price to equal that current actual price.
- W
- Write
- 1 verb : Creating a short position in an option by selling the option. The
terms "selling options" and "writing options" are used
interchangeably.
- 2 noun : A shortened reference to the simultaneous selling of an In-the-Money
option and trading its stock. See Buy-Write and Sell-Write.
- Write, Buy
- Simultaneously selling short an In the Money Call option
and buying equivalent shares of the underlying. Maximum profit is computed
as the option_premium + call_strike_price - stock_purchase_price.
This profit is achieved if the option matures "In the Money". Therefore,
the "safety margin" for this investment is the percentage that the
option is "In the Money". The worst case scenario of this investment
is that value of the stock going to zero. Therefore the amount risked is computed
as stock_purchase_price - option_premium.
The goal of this investment is usually to have the Call option assigned and
deliver the purchased stock to fulfill the option.
- Write, Sell
- Simultaneously selling short an In the Money Put option
and selling short equivalent shares of the underlying. Maximum profit is computed
as the option_premium + stock_sale_price - put_strike_price.
This profit is achieved if the option matures "In the Money". Therefore,
the "safety margin" for this investment is the percentage that the
option is "In the Money". The worst case scenario of this investment
is that value of the stock becoming very high. Therefore the amount risked
is computed as stock_sale_price - stock_buy_back_price - option_premium. Strictly
speaking, there is no bound on the stock_buy_back_price and therefore the
amount risked is infinite. But since stock prices have never increased to
infinity, the SelectOptions.com analysis programs use a stock_buy_back_price
equal to the 99th percentile of the cumulative probability distribution being
used in the analysis.
The goal of this investment is usually to have the Put option assigned and
close the short stock position with the stock received in fulfillment of the
option.
- Write, Sell (Warning)
- The worst case scenario of this investment is the value of the stock becoming
very high. Since there is no bound on how high the price of a stock can go,
the amount risked is infinite. Since a stock price has never increased to
infinity, the SelectOptions.com analysis programs use a stock buy back
price equal to the 99th percentile of the cumulative probability distribution
being used in the analysis. That means, under random conditions, there is
a 1% chance that your actual losses will be greater than the displayed amount
risked. Under non-random conditions, such as specific favorable news that
is not yet priced into the stock, the risk of losses in excess of the displayed
amount risked, is substantially greater than 1%. Also note
that if you enter a "short" position on a dividend paying stock,
you will be responsible for paying any dividends that have ex-dividend dates
during your position. These dividends are not accounted for in the analysis
and can have a significant effect on the profitability of a Sell Write.
- X
- Y
- Z
© Copyright 2004 RAF Research, LLC. All rights reserved.